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Brazil

swing · Americas
14
Threat to Europe
46
Opportunity

Latin America’s giant — a swing partner via Mercosur and climate.

Threat dimensions
Military5
Economic18
Technology18
Cyber22
Hybrid18
Energy12
Opportunity dimensions
Trade70
Tech-coop45
Defence-coop30
Alignment40
Relationship trajectory & EU strategy
Short term 0–2 yrs
Non-aligned
Advance the EU–Mercosur agenda; climate & food.
Medium term 2–7 yrs
Court
Green, agri & critical-minerals partnership.
Long term 7+ yrs
Strategic
Anchor Latin America’s giant in a rules-based order.
Europe's vulnerability: Non-alignment on Russia, China trade ties, Amazon/climate leverage.
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Scores are Strategic Europe's open-source, European-perspective analytical estimates — analysis, not endorsement. Methodology →