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India

swing · Asia

Threat to Europe

Opportunity

The essential swing partner — courting it is a top EU prize.

Threat dimensions

Military10

Economic26

Technology34

Cyber32

Hybrid20

Energy15

Opportunity dimensions

Trade78

Tech-coop72

Defence-coop55

Alignment50

Relationship trajectory & EU strategy

Short term 0–2 yrs

Court actively

Deepen trade & tech (FTA, chips, green); respect its autonomy.

Medium term 2–7 yrs

Strategic partner

Co-develop defence tech; diversify it away from Russian arms.

Long term 7+ yrs

Multipolar pillar

A pillar of a de-risked, multipolar partnership balancing China.

Europe's vulnerability: Russia arms ties, strategic-autonomy stance, market-access frictions.

⚡ Key scenario: India tilting decisively West would reshape the Indo-Pacific balance.

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Scores are Strategic Europe's open-source, European-perspective analytical estimates — analysis, not endorsement. Methodology →